I will repeat the sentiment from my last post that you can't believe the news from media and government regarding the flattening of the curve because we are not testing enough to understand the real numbers. There is good journalism about the lack of testing, I just don't see a lot of good challenges to the "we are at the top of the curve" messages that are being put out by the White House. Today we see the largest number of incoming positive cases in the US with 40,000 new cases at the time of this blog post (7:30 PM PT 4/21/2020). The number of new cases globally is the highest in four days and well above the average for the last fourteen days. I don't believe the University of Washington model that predicts 65,976 that the federal government keeps citing. At this rate, it would take only ten days to blow past that number.
To be fair, I don't understand the models being used. I am just looking at and tracking daily incoming rates, death rates, and testing rates over the last thirty days and it doesn't appear that we actually are decreasing or flattening at all. It just seems like more and more suffering is happening to people due to financial, mental health, and physical health concerns. There is little compassion from our leaders and lots of compassion with each other. It's weird to go out in LA and see hardly any cars, people walking their dogs with face-masks on, neighbors crossing the street when they encounter you. These are strange times and getting stranger.
Eric is a traveller, hacker, and experimenter who is currently researching how to become a happier, calmer, and more compassionate human being.